Will Elon Musk Merge SpaceX And Tesla In 2026? Crypto Prediction Market Isn't Ruling Out The Possibility

Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. Punters on prediction markets are ramping up bets that Elon Musk may eventually combine Tesla Inc. and SpaceX into one entity.

What’s Happening On Polymarket And Kalshi? Polygon-based Polymarket assigned a 38% chance that the two companies will officially merge by Dec. 31.

Over $560,000 has already been wagered on the outcome, and the market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla is merged with or acquired by SpaceX or vice versa. Don't Miss: A single bad hire can set a startup back years. Here are the 5 hires founders most often misjudge — and why Still Learning the Market?

These 50 Must-Know Terms Can Help You Catch Up Fast Kalshi bettors, however, anticipated only 24% chance of a combination this year, but increased the likelihood to 53% by May 2027. The Mother Of All Mergers? Speculation around a potential merger of two of the most disruptive companies—both co-founded and led by Musk—has grown louder.

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives put the odds of a Tesla-SpaceX tie-up at about 80%, arguing that the connective tissue between the companies is already forming. Walter Isaacson, who wrote a biography on Musk, has pointed in the same direction. Renowned investor Ross Gerber suggested that the deal could look less like a merger of equals and more like SpaceX absorbing Tesla into a broader Musk-controlled structure.

See Also: Avoid the #1 Investing Mistake: How Your ‘Safe' Holdings Could Be Costing You Big Time Musk has a history of merging and consolidating his companies. Earlier this year, SpaceX acquired artificial intelligence startup xAI in a massive all-stock deal. In 2025, he merged the social media platform X into xAI.

The speculation builds as SpaceX prepares to launch its highly anticipated initial public offering on Friday. The space giant is reportedly aiming to raise $75 billion and value the company at roughly $1.77 trillion.

Photo Courtesy: Paulm1993 on Shutterstock.com Read Next: Skip the Regrets: The Essential Retirement Tips Experts Wish Everyone Knew Earlier. Think you're saving enough for your kids?

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